The UK will not deploy 100Mbit/s broadband until 2015 if current trends
remain constant, according to research.
The study by not-for-profit organisation
Fibre to the Home (FttH) Council says
high-speed services will reach early adopters in the UK 10 years after Sweden,
five years after France and four after Poland.
The claim is based upon Nielsen's Law, a theory which states that connection
speeds at the upper end of the broadband market will increase 50 per cent per
year, multiplying 7.5 times after five years. Mainstream connections are
forecast to lag two to three years behind the fastest connections.
The UK market currently fits the law's predictions, which were originally
made in 1998. However, both Sweden and France have already surpassed their
expected rate of take-up, with former leading the European race for adoption.
The study was conducted on behalf of the FttH Council by consultants
Ventura.
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